Category: Analytical Ability • Topic 3 of 4
Exam Area: Analytical Ability
Professional Only • Topic 3 of 4

Identifying Assumptions & Drawing Conclusions

Isa sa pinakamahirap na bahagi ng CSE Professional Analytical Ability ay ang paghihiwalay sa Given Fact (Premise), Hidden Assumption, at Conclusion. Sa paksang ito, matututunan mo ang Bridge Principle at Negation Test para hindi ka na kailanman malito sa mga ito.

Learning Objectives:
  • Maipaliwanag ang malinaw na pagkakaiba ng Fact (Premise), Assumption, at Conclusion.
  • Magamit ang Bridge Principle at Negation Test para mahanap ang nakatagong Assumption sa isang argumento.
  • Makabuo ng lohikal na Conclusion nang hindi nagdadagdag ng sariling opinyon o outside assumptions.
  • Maiwasan ang mga tempting distractors gaya ng Irrelevant Comparisons, Extreme Statements, at Reversed Cause-and-Effect.
Bakit mahalaga sa CSE: Sa Assumption at Conclusion questions, ang pinakamalaking kalaban mo ay ang 'sariling opinyon sa totoong buhay'. Magbase lamang nang 100% sa mga salitang ibinigay sa sitwasyon.
1
Core Concept 1 • Anatomy of an Argument

Fact (Premise) vs. Assumption vs. Conclusion

Alamin kung alin ang nakasulat na ebidensya, alin ang nakatagong tulay, at alin ang pinapatunayan.

Bawat argumento sa CSE Analytical Ability ay binubuo ng tatlong bahagi:

Core Rule • Argument Structure

Ang 3 Bahagi ng Argumento

  • 1. Fact / Premise (Ebidensya): Ang direktang impormasyon o obserbasyon na ibinigay sa pahayag (madalas may signal na Because, Since, Given that). Tanggapin ito bilang 100% totoo.
  • 2. Conclusion (Ang Ipinaglalaban / Claim): Ang pangwakas na hatol, rekomendasyon, o resulta na gustong patunayan ng nagsasalita (madalas may signal na Therefore, Thus, Hence, Consequently, Should, Must).
  • 3. Assumption (Ang Nakatagong Tulay / Unstated Premise): Ang hindi binanggit na paniniwala ng nagsasalita na nagdurugtong sa Fact at Conclusion.
Key Takeaway: Ang Fact at Conclusion ay PAREHONG NAKASULAT sa teksto. Ang Assumption ay HINDI NAKASULAT ngunit kailangang totoo para magdugtong ang Fact at Conclusion!
Concept Diagram Anatomy of an Argument: Fact + Hidden Assumption = Conclusion
Diagram na nagpapakita ng Given Fact sa kaliwa, Hidden Assumption bilang tulay sa gitna, at Conclusion sa kanan, kasama ang Negation Test
Tingnan kung paano pinagdurugtong ng Hidden Assumption ang 'on-time reports' (Fact) at 'Efficiency Award' (Conclusion).
Visual Takeaway: Kung ang Fact ay tungkol sa A ('on-time reports') at ang Conclusion ay biglang tumalon sa B ('Efficiency Award'), ang Assumption ay laging ang tulay na nagkokonekta sa A at B!
2
Core Concept 2 • Identifying Assumptions

Paano Mahanap ang Nakatagong Assumption (Bridge + Negation Test)

Dalawang subok na paraan para makasigurado sa Assumption questions.

Core Strategy • Assumption Check

Ang Negation Test (Subok-Baligtad Technique)

Halimbawa: "Maglalagay ng bike lanes ang lungsod (Fact), kaya mababawasan ang air pollution (Conclusion)."
• Subukang i-negate ang Choice: "Paano kung WALANG gagamit ng bike lanes at hindi mababawasan ang sasakyan?" → Guguho agad ang conclusion na mababawasan ang air pollution! Kaya ang assumption ay: Maraming commuters ang lilipat sa paggamit ng bisikleta dahil sa bike lanes.

Key Takeaway: Para malaman kung ang isang choice ay tunay na Assumption, lagyan ito ng 'NOT' (baligtarin). Kung gumuho o nawalan ng saysay ang Conclusion, 100% iyon ang tamang Assumption!
Sitwasyon sa Opisina / Real-Life Scenario

Sample CSE Identifying Assumptions Question

Statement:
'To eliminate long queues at the licensing center, the agency launched an online appointment system this month. Therefore, applicants will no longer experience waiting times of more than thirty minutes at the licensing center.'

Which of the following is an assumption on which the argument depends?
A Other government agencies have already implemented online appointment systems.
B The online appointment system will function properly and be used by the applicants.
C Licensing fees will be reduced for applicants who book their appointments online.
D Waiting times at the licensing center used to exceed four hours every day.
Tamang Sagot: Choice B (The online appointment system will function properly and be used by the applicants.)
Paliwanag: Para magkatotoo ang conclusion na mawawala ang mahabang pila dahil sa online appointment system, kailangang ipagpalagay (assume) na gagana nang maayos ang sistema at gagamitin ito ng mga aplikante.
'Choice B — TAMA (Passes the Negation Test!)', 'detail' => 'I-negate natin: "Paano kung laging down ang online system at walang gumamit nito?" Guguho agad ang conclusion na mawawala ang pila!', ], ]" finalAnswer="Choice B" />
3
Core Concept 3 • Drawing Conclusions

Drawing Conclusions: Paano Pumili ng Ligtas at Lohikal na Konklusyon

Huwag lumampas sa sinasabi ng ebidensya!

Kapag ang tanong ay "Which of the following conclusions can be drawn from the passage?", ang hinahanap mo ay ang pahayag na 100% napatutunayan kapag pinagsama ang mga ibinigay na facts.

Sitwasyon sa Opisina / Real-Life Scenario

Sample CSE Drawing Conclusions Question

Read the scenario carefully:
'In Department M, only employees who have completed the Advanced Supervisory Course are eligible for promotion to Division Chief. Furthermore, every employee who completed the Advanced Supervisory Course has served in the agency for at least five years. Marco was promoted to Division Chief yesterday.'

Based ONLY on the statements above, which conclusion must be true?
A All employees who have served in the agency for five years are eligible for promotion to Division Chief.
B Marco has served in the agency for at least five years.
C Marco obtained the highest rating in the Advanced Supervisory Course.
D Every employee who completes the Advanced Supervisory Course is automatically promoted to Division Chief.
Tamang Sagot: Choice B (Marco has served in the agency for at least five years.)
Paliwanag: Chain of Facts: Si Marco ay na-promote bilang Division Chief → Kailangan nakatapos siya ng Advanced Supervisory Course (Fact 1) → Lahat ng nakatapos ng kursong iyon ay nagtrabaho na sa agency nang hindi bababa sa 5 taon (Fact 2). Kaya siguradong naglingkod na si Marco nang hindi bababa sa 5 taon!
'Choice D — MALI (Confusing "Eligible" with "Automatic Promotion")', 'detail' => 'Sinabi lang na "eligible" (kwalipikado) sila, hindi sinabing awtomatikong ma-po-promote ang lahat ng nakatapos.', ], [ 'title' => 'Choice B — TAMA (100% Deductive Chain)', 'detail' => 'Promoted to Division Chief → Completed Course → Served at least 5 years.', ], ]" finalAnswer="Choice B" />
Iwas-Mali: "Only A are B" vs. "All A are B"
Tandaan ang translation: Only A are B ay isinusulat bilang If B, then A.
Mali / Huwag Gagawin:
Inisip na ang 'Only course completers are eligible' ay nangangahulugang 'All course completers are promoted'.
Tama / Gawin Ito:
Ang 'Only A are B' ay nangangahulugang: Kung ikaw ay B (promoted), siguradong ikaw ay A (course completer). Kaya B → A!

Short Recap: Identifying Assumptions & Drawing Conclusions

  • Fact (Premise) = Ebidensyang nakasulat; Conclusion = Claim na pinapatunayan; Assumption = Nakatagong tulay na nagdurugtong sa Fact at Conclusion.
  • Sa Assumption questions, hanapin ang pagtalon ng konsepto mula sa Premise papuntang Conclusion at gamitin ang Negation Test.
  • Sa Conclusion questions, pagdugtungin lang ang ibinigay na facts at iwasan ang anumang impormasyong wala sa sitwasyon.
  • I-cross out agad ang choices na may Extreme Words (all, automatic, never, only) kung hindi ito direktang sinusuportahan ng rules.
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